How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Vikingur Reykjavik, at 68.4%. The other outcomes represent 31.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 68.4% · Draw: 15% · Away win: 16.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Vikingur Reykjavik 2017; Fram Reykjavik 1799. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Úrvalsdeild · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 16:15
Vikingur Reykjavik
Elo 2017
2
-
2
Fram Reykjavik
Elo 1799
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Away Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Elo Advantage
+219
H2H (6)
2H
4D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Vikingur Reykjavik2017
Fram Reykjavik1799
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Vikingur Reykjavik
4Draws
0Fram Reykjavik
6 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
68% conf.
WRONG
Home
68%
Draw
15%
Away
17%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
56%
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
7%
No
93%
Home Clean Sheet
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Double Chance 1X
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
No
15%
Double Chance X2
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
29%
No
71%
Half-Time Result
51% conf.
WRONG
Home
51%
Draw
37%
Away
12%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
81%
No
19%
HT Over 1.5
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Over 1.5 Goals
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
87%
No
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Over 3.5 Goals
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
46%
No
54%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.