How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is FH hafnarfjordur, at 54.2%. The other outcomes represent 45.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 54.2% · Draw: 22.3% · Away win: 23.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: FH hafnarfjordur 1784; Thor Akureyri 1685. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Úrvalsdeild · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 14:00
FH hafnarfjordur
Elo 1784
1
-
2
Thor Akureyri
Elo 1685
FT
HT 1-2
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
+99
H2H (6)
0H
2D
4A
Elo rating comparison
FH hafnarfjordur1784
Thor Akureyri1685
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0FH hafnarfjordur
2Draws
4Thor Akureyri
6 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
54% conf.
WRONG
Home
54%
Draw
22%
Away
23%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Away Clean Sheet
90% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
10%
No
90%
Home Clean Sheet
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
WRONG
Home
44%
Draw
36%
Away
20%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
WRONG
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
81%
No
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 3.5 Goals
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.