How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Valur Reykjavik, at 39.6%. The other outcomes represent 60.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 39.4% · Draw: 21% · Away win: 39.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Stjarnan 1762; Valur Reykjavik 1778. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 6–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Úrvalsdeild · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 14:00
Stjarnan
Elo 1762
6
-
0
Valur Reykjavik
Elo 1778
FT
HT 5-0
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-15
H2H (3)
3H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Stjarnan1762
Valur Reykjavik1778
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
3Stjarnan
0Draws
0Valur Reykjavik
3 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
40% conf.
WRONG
Home
39%
Draw
21%
Away
40%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
58%
No
42%
Away Clean Sheet
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Home Clean Sheet
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
22%
No
78%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Half-Time Result
35% conf.
CORRECT
Home
35%
Draw
35%
Away
30%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 3.5 Goals
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
47%
No
53%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
WRONG
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.