How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Al Hikma, at 62.5%. The other outcomes represent 37.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 62.5% · Draw: 25.3% · Away win: 12.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Al Hikma 1552; Al Mabarrah 1389. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 18:00
Al Hikma
Elo 1552
0
-
1
Al Mabarrah
Elo 1389
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Away Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Elo Advantage
+164
H2H (4)
4H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Al Hikma1552
Al Mabarrah1389
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4Al Hikma
0Draws
0Al Mabarrah
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
63% conf.
WRONG
Home
63%
Draw
25%
Away
12%
Both Teams to Score
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Away Clean Sheet
87% conf.
WRONG
Yes
13%
No
87%
Home Clean Sheet
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
45%
No
55%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
WRONG
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
34%
No
66%
Half-Time Result
50% conf.
WRONG
Home
50%
Draw
37%
Away
13%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
45%
No
55%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
55%
No
45%
Over 3.5 Goals
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.