How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Bath City, at 51.9%. The other outcomes represent 48.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 51.9% · Draw: 24.5% · Away win: 23.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Bath City 1605; Frome Town 1675. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
FA Trophy · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 14:00
Bath City
Elo 1605
0
-
0
Frome Town
Elo 1675
PEN
FT 90' 0-0
HT 0-0
Predictions evaluated on 90-minute result
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-70
H2H (3)
0H
0D
3A
Elo rating comparison
Bath City1605
Frome Town1675
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Bath City
0Draws
3Frome Town
3 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
52% conf.
WRONG
Home
52%
Draw
24%
Away
24%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Away Clean Sheet
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Clean Sheet
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
39%
No
61%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
51%
No
49%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
CORRECT
Home
38%
Draw
43%
Away
19%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Over 1.5 Goals
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
74%
No
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
No
44%
Over 3.5 Goals
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.