How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Curzon Ashton, at 56.5%. The other outcomes represent 43.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 22.6% · Draw: 20.9% · Away win: 56.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Bridlington Town 1472; Curzon Ashton 1612. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
FA Trophy · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 14:00
Bridlington Town
Elo 1472
2
-
2
Curzon Ashton
Elo 1612
PEN
FT 90' 2-2
HT 1-1
Predictions evaluated on 90-minute result
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-140
Elo rating comparison
Bridlington Town1472
Curzon Ashton1612
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Bridlington Town
—Draws
—Curzon Ashton
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
57% conf.
WRONG
Home
23%
Draw
21%
Away
57%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
No
39%
Away Clean Sheet
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Clean Sheet
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
87%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
WRONG
Home
21%
Draw
35%
Away
44%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
No
37%
Over 3.5 Goals
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
47%
No
53%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.