How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Waltham Abbey, at 62.6%. The other outcomes represent 37.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 21.5% · Draw: 15.9% · Away win: 62.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Hastings United 1456; Waltham Abbey 1650. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–3. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
FA Trophy · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 14:00
Hastings United
Elo 1456
2
-
3
Waltham Abbey
Elo 1650
FT
HT 0-3
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-194
Elo rating comparison
Hastings United1456
Waltham Abbey1650
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Hastings United
—Draws
—Waltham Abbey
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
63% conf.
CORRECT
Home
22%
Draw
16%
Away
63%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Clean Sheet
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance X2
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
CORRECT
Home
21%
Draw
36%
Away
43%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Over 3.5 Goals
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
40%
No
60%
Home Win to Nil
92% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
8%
No
92%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.