How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Leatherhead, at 53.8%. The other outcomes represent 46.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 53.8% · Draw: 25.7% · Away win: 20.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Leatherhead 1669; Eastbourne Borough 1660. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
FA Trophy · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 14:00
Leatherhead
Elo 1669
2
-
2
Eastbourne Borough
Elo 1660
PEN
FT 90' 2-2
HT 0-1
Predictions evaluated on 90-minute result
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
+9
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Leatherhead1669
Eastbourne Borough1660
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Leatherhead
0Draws
0Eastbourne Borough
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
54% conf.
WRONG
Home
54%
Draw
26%
Away
21%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
56%
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Clean Sheet
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
39%
Draw
42%
Away
20%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
83%
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Over 3.5 Goals
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.