How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Espanyol, at 41.7%. The other outcomes represent 58.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 35.8% · Draw: 22.6% · Away win: 41.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Racing Santander 1856; Espanyol 1889. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
La Liga · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 14:15
Racing Santander
Elo 1856
2
-
1
Espanyol
Elo 1889
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Elo Advantage
-32
Elo rating comparison
Racing Santander1856
Espanyol1889
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Racing Santander
—Draws
—Espanyol
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
36%
@ 2.35
Draw
23%
@ 3.57
Away
42%
@ 2.81
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
@ 1.58
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Clean Sheet
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
@ 1.42
No
47%
Double Chance X2
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
62%
@ 1.59
No
38%
Half-Time Result
36% conf.
CORRECT
Home
29%
@ 2.88
Draw
36%
@ 2.27
Away
35%
@ 3.29
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
72%
@ 1.33
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
@ 1.21
No
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
@ 1.73
No
48%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
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Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.