How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Newroz, at 52.5%. The other outcomes represent 47.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 52.5% · Draw: 25.4% · Away win: 22.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Newroz 1657; Diyala 1508. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Iraqi League · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 13:30
Newroz
Elo 1657
0
-
0
Diyala
Elo 1508
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Elo Advantage
+149
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Newroz1657
Diyala1508
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Newroz
2Draws
0Diyala
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
52% conf.
WRONG
Home
52%
Draw
25%
Away
22%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Away Clean Sheet
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Clean Sheet
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
38%
No
62%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
45%
No
55%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
WRONG
Home
44%
Draw
39%
Away
17%
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Over 1.5 Goals
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 3.5 Goals
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.