How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Tarxien Rainbows, at 45.9%. The other outcomes represent 54.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 31.8% · Draw: 22.2% · Away win: 45.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Sirens 1510; Tarxien Rainbows 1610. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–2. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Challenge League · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 14:30
Sirens
Elo 1510
1
-
2
Tarxien Rainbows
Elo 1610
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-99
Elo rating comparison
Sirens1510
Tarxien Rainbows1610
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Sirens
—Draws
—Tarxien Rainbows
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
46% conf.
CORRECT
Home
32%
Draw
22%
Away
46%
Both Teams to Score
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
No
33%
Away Clean Sheet
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Clean Sheet
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
WRONG
Home
27%
Draw
41%
Away
32%
HT Both Teams Score
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 1.5 Goals
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
87%
No
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Over 3.5 Goals
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
No
48%
Home Win to Nil
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.