How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Al Salmiyah, at 71.9%. The other outcomes represent 28.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 71.9% · Draw: 18.3% · Away win: 9.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Al Salmiyah 1631; Al Jahra 1346. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 14:35
Al Salmiyah
Elo 1631
1
-
0
Al Jahra
Elo 1346
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Elo Advantage
+285
H2H (1)
1H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Al Salmiyah1631
Al Jahra1346
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
1Al Salmiyah
0Draws
0Al Jahra
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
72% conf.
CORRECT
Home
72%
Draw
18%
Away
10%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Home Clean Sheet
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Double Chance 1X
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
89%
No
11%
Double Chance X2
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Half-Time Result
55% conf.
CORRECT
Home
55%
Draw
34%
Away
11%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
WRONG
Yes
80%
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
No
44%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.