How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Al Jazira, at 70.1%. The other outcomes represent 29.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 16.9% · Draw: 13% · Away win: 70.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Sporty 1213; Al Jazira 1517. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–6. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Division 1 · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 14:35
Sporty
Elo 1213
0
-
6
Al Jazira
Elo 1517
FT
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
-304
H2H (4)
0H
0D
4A
Elo rating comparison
Sporty1213
Al Jazira1517
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Sporty
0Draws
4Al Jazira
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
70% conf.
CORRECT
Home
17%
Draw
13%
Away
70%
Both Teams to Score
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
No
50%
Away Clean Sheet
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Home Clean Sheet
91% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
9%
No
91%
Double Chance 1X
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
Double Chance X2
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
No
18%
Half-Time Result
68% conf.
Home
13%
Draw
19%
Away
68%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
82% conf.
Yes
82%
No
18%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
Yes
59%
No
41%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Home Win to Nil
100% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
0%
No
100%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.