How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Dinamo Batumi, at 47.4%. The other outcomes represent 52.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 47.4% · Draw: 28.6% · Away win: 24%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Dinamo Batumi 1861; Samgurali 1738. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Erovnuli Liga · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 15:00
Dinamo Batumi
Elo 1861
3
-
0
Samgurali
Elo 1738
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+123
H2H (6)
5H
1D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Dinamo Batumi1861
Samgurali1738
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
5Dinamo Batumi
1Draws
0Samgurali
6 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
47% conf.
CORRECT
Home
47%
Draw
29%
Away
24%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Away Clean Sheet
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Clean Sheet
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
55%
No
45%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
WRONG
Home
36%
Draw
41%
Away
23%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
55%
No
45%
Over 3.5 Goals
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.