How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Arsenal, at 40.4%. The other outcomes represent 59.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 40.4% · Draw: 30.4% · Away win: 29.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Arsenal 1702; FC Dnepr Mogilev 1727. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 10:00
Arsenal
Elo 1702
0
-
0
FC Dnepr Mogilev
Elo 1727
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
-26
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Arsenal1702
FC Dnepr Mogilev1727
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Arsenal
0Draws
0FC Dnepr Mogilev
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
40% conf.
WRONG
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
29%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
55%
No
45%
Away Clean Sheet
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Clean Sheet
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
No
39%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
CORRECT
Home
28%
Draw
47%
Away
25%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
68%
No
32%
HT Over 1.5
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
51%
No
49%
Over 3.5 Goals
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Home Win to Nil
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.