How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Levski Sofia, at 55.4%. The other outcomes represent 44.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 17.6% · Draw: 27% · Away win: 55.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Arda Kardzhali 1869; Levski Sofia 2089. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
First League · Tuesday, Oct 27 2026
· 17:30
Arda Kardzhali
Elo 1869
1
-
1
Levski Sofia
Elo 2089
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Elo Advantage
-220
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Arda Kardzhali1869
Levski Sofia2089
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Arda Kardzhali
0Draws
2Levski Sofia
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
55% conf.
WRONG
Home
18%
@ 4.68
Draw
27%
@ 3.32
Away
55%
@ 1.74
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
@ 2.07
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Home Clean Sheet
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
83%
@ 1.15
No
17%
Half-Time Result
49% conf.
WRONG
Home
17%
@ 5.33
Draw
49%
@ 2.01
Away
33%
@ 2.37
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
@ 1.45
No
36%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
72%
@ 1.39
No
28%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 3.5 Goals
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Win to Nil
100% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
0%
No
100%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.