How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is CSKA Sofia, at 42.6%. The other outcomes represent 57.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 42.6% · Draw: 27.9% · Away win: 29.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: CSKA Sofia 2014; Ludogorets 2059. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
First League · Monday, Oct 26 2026
· 17:30
CSKA Sofia
Elo 2014
2
-
0
Ludogorets
Elo 2059
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Elo Advantage
-45
H2H (9)
4H
2D
3A
Elo rating comparison
CSKA Sofia2014
Ludogorets2059
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4CSKA Sofia
2Draws
3Ludogorets
9 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
43% conf.
CORRECT
Home
43%
@ 2.21
Draw
28%
@ 3.22
Away
29%
@ 3.04
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
58%
@ 1.78
No
42%
Away Clean Sheet
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Clean Sheet
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
@ 1.34
No
36%
Double Chance X2
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
62%
@ 1.60
No
38%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
28%
@ 2.84
Draw
42%
@ 2.10
Away
30%
@ 3.67
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
@ 1.37
No
40%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
@ 1.29
No
31%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
55%
@ 2.01
No
45%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.