How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Tikveš, at 71.8%. The other outcomes represent 28.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 71.8% · Draw: 17.8% · Away win: 10.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Tikveš 1820; Bashkimi Kumanovo 1621. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
First League · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 13:00
Tikveš
Elo 1820
3
-
1
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Elo 1621
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
+199
H2H (3)
2H
1D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Tikveš1820
Bashkimi Kumanovo1621
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Tikveš
1Draws
0Bashkimi Kumanovo
3 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
72% conf.
CORRECT
Home
72%
Draw
18%
Away
10%
Both Teams to Score
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
62%
No
38%
Away Clean Sheet
90% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
10%
No
90%
Home Clean Sheet
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Double Chance 1X
97% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
97%
No
3%
Double Chance X2
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Half-Time Result
50% conf.
WRONG
Home
50%
Draw
37%
Away
13%
HT Both Teams Score
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 1.5 Goals
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
87%
No
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
No
33%
Over 3.5 Goals
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Home Win to Nil
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.