How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Belasica, at 43.3%. The other outcomes represent 56.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 43.3% · Draw: 22% · Away win: 34.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Belasica 1617; Makedonija GjP 1634. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Second League · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 12:00
Belasica
Elo 1617
1
-
1
Makedonija GjP
Elo 1634
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-17
Elo rating comparison
Belasica1617
Makedonija GjP1634
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Belasica
—Draws
—Makedonija GjP
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
43% conf.
WRONG
Home
43%
Draw
22%
Away
35%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
47%
No
53%
Away Clean Sheet
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Clean Sheet
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
CORRECT
Home
31%
Draw
43%
Away
26%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
WRONG
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
58%
No
42%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.