How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Karpaty, at 64.6%. The other outcomes represent 35.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 17.9% · Draw: 17.6% · Away win: 64.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Chornomorets 1678; Karpaty 1905. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 11:00
Chornomorets
Elo 1678
0
-
0
Karpaty
Elo 1905
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-227
Elo rating comparison
Chornomorets1678
Karpaty1905
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Chornomorets
—Draws
—Karpaty
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
65% conf.
WRONG
Home
18%
Draw
18%
Away
65%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Clean Sheet
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
21%
No
79%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
83%
No
17%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
WRONG
Home
20%
Draw
39%
Away
41%
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
71%
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Over 1.5 Goals
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
70%
No
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 3.5 Goals
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.