How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Shakhtar Donetsk, at 76.0%. The other outcomes represent 24.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 76% · Draw: 15.1% · Away win: 8.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Shakhtar Donetsk 2115; Zorya Luhansk 1817. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 15:00
Shakhtar Donetsk
Elo 2115
0
-
0
Zorya Luhansk
Elo 1817
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
+298
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Shakhtar Donetsk2115
Zorya Luhansk1817
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Shakhtar Donetsk
0Draws
0Zorya Luhansk
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
76% conf.
WRONG
Home
76%
Draw
15%
Away
9%
Both Teams to Score
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
Away Clean Sheet
93% conf.
WRONG
Yes
7%
No
93%
Home Clean Sheet
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
35%
No
65%
Double Chance 1X
97% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
97%
No
3%
Double Chance X2
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
25%
No
75%
Half-Time Result
58% conf.
WRONG
Home
58%
Draw
30%
Away
11%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
80% conf.
WRONG
Yes
80%
No
20%
HT Over 1.5
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
58%
No
42%
Over 1.5 Goals
89% conf.
WRONG
Yes
89%
No
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 3.5 Goals
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
No
44%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.