How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Nitra, at 74.8%. The other outcomes represent 25.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 74.8% · Draw: 16.3% · Away win: 8.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Nitra 1692; Komárno II 1455. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 5–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
3. liga - West · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 14:30
Nitra
Elo 1692
5
-
1
Komárno II
Elo 1455
FT
HT 3-0
Home Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
+237
Elo rating comparison
Nitra1692
Komárno II1455
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Nitra
—Draws
—Komárno II
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
75% conf.
CORRECT
Home
75%
Draw
16%
Away
9%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
45%
No
55%
Away Clean Sheet
91% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
9%
No
91%
Home Clean Sheet
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Double Chance 1X
97% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
97%
No
3%
Double Chance X2
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Half-Time Result
55% conf.
CORRECT
Home
55%
Draw
28%
Away
17%
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
No
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
62%
No
38%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.