How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is ASPAC, at 41.4%. The other outcomes represent 58.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 32.5% · Draw: 26.2% · Away win: 41.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Dragons 1498; ASPAC 1691. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Championnat National · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 15:00
Dragons
Elo 1498
0
-
0
ASPAC
Elo 1691
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
-192
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Dragons1498
ASPAC1691
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Dragons
0Draws
0ASPAC
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
41% conf.
WRONG
Home
32%
Draw
26%
Away
41%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Away Clean Sheet
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Clean Sheet
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
25%
No
75%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
72%
No
28%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
CORRECT
Home
24%
Draw
47%
Away
28%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
66%
No
34%
HT Over 1.5
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Over 1.5 Goals
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
65%
No
35%
Over 2.5 Goals
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Over 3.5 Goals
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.