How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Burreli, at 44.8%. The other outcomes represent 55.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 44.8% · Draw: 26.8% · Away win: 28.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Burreli 1623; FK Kukesi 1643. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
1st Division · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 11:30
Burreli
Elo 1623
1
-
2
FK Kukesi
Elo 1643
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
-20
H2H (1)
0H
1D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Burreli1623
FK Kukesi1643
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Burreli
1Draws
0FK Kukesi
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
45% conf.
WRONG
Home
45%
Draw
27%
Away
28%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
43%
No
57%
Away Clean Sheet
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Clean Sheet
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
55%
No
45%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
WRONG
Home
33%
Draw
43%
Away
24%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
66%
No
34%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.