How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Toulouse, at 63.3%. The other outcomes represent 36.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 63.3% · Draw: 21.3% · Away win: 15.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Toulouse 1916; Estac Troyes 1865. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Ligue 1 · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 16:15
Toulouse
Elo 1916
0
-
0
Estac Troyes
Elo 1865
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
+51
Elo rating comparison
Toulouse1916
Estac Troyes1865
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Toulouse
—Draws
—Estac Troyes
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
63% conf.
WRONG
Home
63%
@ 1.70
Draw
21%
@ 4.02
Away
15%
@ 4.64
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
@ 1.62
No
41%
Away Clean Sheet
84% conf.
WRONG
Yes
16%
No
84%
Home Clean Sheet
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Double Chance 1X
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
89%
@ 1.20
No
11%
Double Chance X2
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
40%
No
60%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
WRONG
Home
45%
@ 2.17
Draw
37%
@ 2.40
Away
18%
@ 4.78
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
73%
@ 1.29
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
WRONG
Yes
86%
@ 1.19
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
62%
@ 1.63
No
38%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.