How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Shturmi, at 50.8%. The other outcomes represent 49.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 50.8% · Draw: 25.7% · Away win: 23.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Shturmi 1672; Sioni 1593. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Erovnuli Liga 2 · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 16:00
Shturmi
Elo 1672
1
-
0
Sioni
Elo 1593
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
+80
H2H (8)
4H
2D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Shturmi1672
Sioni1593
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4Shturmi
2Draws
2Sioni
8 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
51% conf.
CORRECT
Home
51%
Draw
26%
Away
24%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Away Clean Sheet
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Home Clean Sheet
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
WRONG
Home
43%
Draw
36%
Away
21%
HT Both Teams Score
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Over 1.5 Goals
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
73%
No
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Over 3.5 Goals
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.