How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is FC Zurich, at 43.9%. The other outcomes represent 56.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 43.9% · Draw: 20% · Away win: 36%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: FC Zurich 1758; FC Luzern 1904. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Super League · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 16:00
FC Zurich
Elo 1758
2
-
1
FC Luzern
Elo 1904
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Elo Advantage
-146
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
FC Zurich1758
FC Luzern1904
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0FC Zurich
0Draws
2FC Luzern
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
44% conf.
CORRECT
Home
44%
@ 2.53
Draw
20%
@ 3.88
Away
36%
@ 2.36
Both Teams to Score
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
66%
@ 1.31
No
34%
Away Clean Sheet
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Clean Sheet
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
@ 1.54
No
47%
Double Chance X2
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
@ 1.49
No
43%
Half-Time Result
36% conf.
WRONG
Home
30%
@ 2.91
Draw
36%
@ 2.63
Away
34%
@ 2.74
HT Both Teams Score
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
@ 1.16
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 1.5 Goals
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
@ 1.05
No
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
@ 1.31
No
31%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.