How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Polonia Lidzbark Warm., at 40.8%. The other outcomes represent 59.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 40.8% · Draw: 22.2% · Away win: 37%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Polonia Lidzbark Warm. 1460; ŁKS Łódź II 1507. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
III Liga - Group 1 · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 15:00
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.
Elo 1460
3
-
0
ŁKS Łódź II
Elo 1507
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-48
Elo rating comparison
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.1460
ŁKS Łódź II1507
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Polonia Lidzbark Warm.
—Draws
—ŁKS Łódź II
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
41% conf.
CORRECT
Home
41%
Draw
22%
Away
37%
Both Teams to Score
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
69%
No
31%
Away Clean Sheet
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Home Clean Sheet
83% conf.
WRONG
Yes
17%
No
83%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
No
43%
Half-Time Result
35% conf.
WRONG
Home
34%
Draw
35%
Away
32%
HT Both Teams Score
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
HT Over 0.5
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
87%
No
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
No
32%
Over 3.5 Goals
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
45%
No
55%
Home Win to Nil
85% conf.
WRONG
Yes
15%
No
85%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.