How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is SS Reyes, at 37.5%. The other outcomes represent 62.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 31% · Draw: 31.5% · Away win: 37.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: RSD Alcalá 1626; SS Reyes 1770. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–2. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 16:00
RSD Alcalá
Elo 1626
1
-
2
SS Reyes
Elo 1770
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Elo Advantage
-144
Elo rating comparison
RSD Alcalá1626
SS Reyes1770
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—RSD Alcalá
—Draws
—SS Reyes
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
38% conf.
CORRECT
Home
31%
Draw
31%
Away
38%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Away Clean Sheet
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Home Clean Sheet
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
72%
No
28%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
CORRECT
Home
24%
Draw
44%
Away
33%
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
67%
No
33%
HT Over 1.5
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Over 1.5 Goals
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 3.5 Goals
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.