How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is SK Poltava, at 45.6%. The other outcomes represent 54.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 32.1% · Draw: 22.3% · Away win: 45.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Polissya II 1571; SK Poltava 1594. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–2. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Persha Liga · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 11:00
Polissya II
Elo 1571
1
-
2
SK Poltava
Elo 1594
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
-23
Elo rating comparison
Polissya II1571
SK Poltava1594
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Polissya II
—Draws
—SK Poltava
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
46% conf.
CORRECT
Home
32%
Draw
22%
Away
46%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Clean Sheet
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
87%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
No
32%
Half-Time Result
36% conf.
WRONG
Home
30%
Draw
36%
Away
34%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
No
42%
Over 3.5 Goals
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.