How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Samsunspor, at 41.5%. The other outcomes represent 58.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 41.5% · Draw: 18% · Away win: 40.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Samsunspor 1872; Amed 1926. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Süper Lig · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 16:00
Samsunspor
Elo 1872
1
-
2
Amed
Elo 1926
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Elo Advantage
-54
Elo rating comparison
Samsunspor1872
Amed1926
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Samsunspor
—Draws
—Amed
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
42%
Draw
18%
Away
41%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Away Clean Sheet
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Clean Sheet
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
No
32%
Half-Time Result
36% conf.
WRONG
Home
29%
Draw
35%
Away
36%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
No
37%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.