How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Yeşilyurt Belediyespor, at 76.3%. The other outcomes represent 23.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 76.3% · Draw: 15.1% · Away win: 8.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Yeşilyurt Belediyespor 1632; Silifke Belediyespor 1501. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 4–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
3. Lig - Group 3 · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 16:00
Yeşilyurt Belediyespor
Elo 1632
4
-
0
Silifke Belediyespor
Elo 1501
FT
HT 3-0
Home Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+131
H2H (8)
3H
3D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Yeşilyurt Belediyespor1632
Silifke Belediyespor1501
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
3Yeşilyurt Belediyespor
3Draws
2Silifke Belediyespor
8 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
76% conf.
CORRECT
Home
76%
Draw
15%
Away
9%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
51%
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
90% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
10%
No
90%
Home Clean Sheet
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
46%
No
54%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
93%
No
7%
Double Chance X2
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Half-Time Result
52% conf.
CORRECT
Home
52%
Draw
30%
Away
18%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
No
33%
Over 3.5 Goals
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
45%
No
55%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.