How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Niğde Belediyesispor, at 49.2%. The other outcomes represent 50.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 49.2% · Draw: 23.6% · Away win: 27.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Niğde Belediyesispor 1494; Ağrı 1970 1565. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
3. Lig - Group 3 · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 16:00
Niğde Belediyesispor
Elo 1494
2
-
1
Ağrı 1970
Elo 1565
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
-72
H2H (6)
0H
0D
6A
Elo rating comparison
Niğde Belediyesispor1494
Ağrı 19701565
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Niğde Belediyesispor
0Draws
6Ağrı 1970
6 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
49% conf.
CORRECT
Home
49%
Draw
24%
Away
27%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
56%
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Clean Sheet
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
55%
No
45%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
WRONG
Home
36%
Draw
43%
Away
20%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Over 1.5 Goals
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
No
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 3.5 Goals
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.