San Juan Atletico de Montcada vs L'Hospitalet

Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 · Sunday, 25 Oct 2026 · 17:30

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is L'Hospitalet, at 46.5%. The other outcomes represent 53.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 28.9% · Draw: 24.6% · Away win: 46.5%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: San Juan Atletico de Montcada 1481; L'Hospitalet 1589. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

90-minute result: 2–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 · Sunday, Oct 25 2026 · 17:30
San Juan Atletico de Montcada
Elo 1481
2 - 2
L'Hospitalet
Elo 1589
FT HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
3W 0D 2L
Away Form (5)
3W 2D 0L
Elo Advantage
-109

Elo rating comparison

San Juan Atletico de Montcada1481
L'Hospitalet1589

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

—San Juan Atletico de Montcada
—Draws
—L'Hospitalet

0 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
47% conf. WRONG
Home
29%
Draw
25%
Away
47%
Both Teams to Score
63% conf. CORRECT
Yes
63%
No
37%
Away Clean Sheet
72% conf. CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Clean Sheet
82% conf. CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf. CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
72% conf. CORRECT
Yes
72%
No
28%
Half-Time Result
37% conf. WRONG
Home
27%
Draw
36%
Away
37%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf. WRONG
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
79% conf. CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
HT Over 1.5
56% conf. WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf. CORRECT
Yes
83%
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
65% conf. CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Over 3.5 Goals
62% conf. WRONG
Yes
38%
No
62%
Home Win to Nil
89% conf. CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%

How to read these predictions

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

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No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

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