How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is San Juan, at 36.9%. The other outcomes represent 63.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 33.9% · Draw: 29.2% · Away win: 36.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Aoiz 1480; San Juan 1594. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 16:00
Aoiz
Elo 1480
1
-
1
San Juan
Elo 1594
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-114
Elo rating comparison
Aoiz1480
San Juan1594
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Aoiz
—Draws
—San Juan
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
37% conf.
WRONG
Home
34%
Draw
29%
Away
37%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Clean Sheet
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
No
33%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
CORRECT
Home
27%
Draw
40%
Away
33%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
71%
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
No
43%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.