How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Izarra, at 57.5%. The other outcomes represent 42.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 21.8% · Draw: 20.7% · Away win: 57.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Beti Onak 1493; Izarra 1698. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–4. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 14:00
Beti Onak
Elo 1493
1
-
4
Izarra
Elo 1698
FT
HT 1-2
Home Form (5)
0W
3D
2L
Away Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Elo Advantage
-205
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Beti Onak1493
Izarra1698
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Beti Onak
2Draws
0Izarra
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
58% conf.
CORRECT
Home
22%
Draw
21%
Away
58%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Home Clean Sheet
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
CORRECT
Home
25%
Draw
35%
Away
40%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
WRONG
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
72%
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
No
43%
Over 3.5 Goals
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Win to Nil
97% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
3%
No
97%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.