How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Gamle Oslo, at 51.3%. The other outcomes represent 48.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 51.3% · Draw: 17.8% · Away win: 30.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Gamle Oslo 1584; Bærum 1553. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
3. Division - Girone 1 · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 16:30
Gamle Oslo
Elo 1584
2
-
2
Bærum
Elo 1553
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Elo Advantage
+31
H2H (1)
0H
0D
1A
Elo rating comparison
Gamle Oslo1584
Bærum1553
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Gamle Oslo
0Draws
1Bærum
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
51% conf.
WRONG
Home
51%
Draw
18%
Away
31%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Home Clean Sheet
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
No
48%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
WRONG
Home
39%
Draw
32%
Away
29%
HT Both Teams Score
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
28%
No
72%
HT Over 0.5
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
No
18%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 1.5 Goals
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
89%
No
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
Over 3.5 Goals
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
51%
No
49%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.