Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt

Bundesliga · Saturday, 24 Oct 2026 · 16:30

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Borussia Dortmund, at 68.2%. The other outcomes represent 31.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 68.2% · Draw: 13.9% · Away win: 17.9%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: Borussia Dortmund 2203; Eintracht Frankfurt 2019. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

Bundesliga · Saturday, Oct 24 2026 · 16:30
Borussia Dortmund
Elo 2203
1 - 0
Eintracht Frankfurt
Elo 2019
FT HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
3W 2D 0L
Away Form (5)
3W 1D 1L
Elo Advantage
+183
H2H (2)
2H 0D 0A

Elo rating comparison

Borussia Dortmund2203
Eintracht Frankfurt2019

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

2Borussia Dortmund
0Draws
0Eintracht Frankfurt

2 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
68% conf. CORRECT
Home
68%
@ 1.45
Draw
14%
@ 5.02
Away
18%
@ 5.70
Both Teams to Score
62% conf. WRONG
Yes
62%
@ 1.45
No
38%
Away Clean Sheet
90% conf. CORRECT
Yes
10%
No
90%
Home Clean Sheet
70% conf. WRONG
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf. CORRECT
Yes
84%
@ 1.14
No
16%
Double Chance X2
69% conf. CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Half-Time Result
59% conf. WRONG
Home
59%
@ 1.85
Draw
29%
@ 2.79
Away
12%
@ 5.14
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf. CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
82% conf. WRONG
Yes
82%
@ 1.19
No
18%
HT Over 1.5
55% conf. WRONG
Yes
55%
@ 1.93
No
45%
Over 1.5 Goals
89% conf. WRONG
Yes
89%
@ 1.07
No
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
72% conf. WRONG
Yes
72%
@ 1.32
No
28%
Over 3.5 Goals
54% conf. WRONG
Yes
54%
@ 1.86
No
46%
Home Win to Nil
73% conf. WRONG
Yes
27%
No
73%

How to read these predictions

Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.

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Recent results

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Verified performance

Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

Are predictions guaranteed?

No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?

No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.