Kidderminster Harriers vs Worthing

National League · Saturday, 24 Oct 2026 · 16:30

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Kidderminster Harriers, at 37.2%. The other outcomes represent 62.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 37.2% · Draw: 29.5% · Away win: 33.3%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: Kidderminster Harriers 1835; Worthing 1764. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

90-minute result: 1–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

National League · Saturday, Oct 24 2026 · 16:30
Kidderminster Harriers
Elo 1835
1 - 2
Worthing
Elo 1764
FT HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
3W 2D 0L
Away Form (5)
4W 1D 0L
Elo Advantage
+71

Elo rating comparison

Kidderminster Harriers1835
Worthing1764

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

—Kidderminster Harriers
—Draws
—Worthing

0 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
37% conf. WRONG
Home
37%
@ 2.50
Draw
30%
@ 3.34
Away
33%
@ 2.50
Both Teams to Score
58% conf. CORRECT
Yes
58%
@ 1.58
No
42%
Away Clean Sheet
81% conf. CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Home Clean Sheet
78% conf. CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf. WRONG
Yes
64%
@ 1.44
No
36%
Double Chance X2
68% conf. CORRECT
Yes
68%
@ 1.44
No
32%
Half-Time Result
40% conf. WRONG
Home
29%
@ 3.08
Draw
40%
@ 2.23
Away
31%
@ 3.07
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf. CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf. CORRECT
Yes
70%
@ 1.31
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
69% conf. CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Over 1.5 Goals
75% conf. CORRECT
Yes
75%
@ 1.20
No
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf. CORRECT
Yes
54%
@ 1.71
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf. CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf. CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

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No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

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