How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Hapoel Tel Aviv, at 65.0%. The other outcomes represent 35.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 17% · Draw: 18% · Away win: 65%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Hapoel Katamon 1750; Hapoel Tel Aviv 1992. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–3. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Ligat Ha'al · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 15:45
Hapoel Katamon
Elo 1750
0
-
3
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Elo 1992
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
-242
Elo rating comparison
Hapoel Katamon1750
Hapoel Tel Aviv1992
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Hapoel Katamon
—Draws
—Hapoel Tel Aviv
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
65% conf.
CORRECT
Home
17%
Draw
18%
Away
65%
Both Teams to Score
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
Away Clean Sheet
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Clean Sheet
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
81%
No
19%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
WRONG
Home
19%
Draw
43%
Away
38%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
66%
No
34%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
83%
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
56%
No
44%
Over 3.5 Goals
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Win to Nil
97% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
3%
No
97%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.