How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Farul Constanta, at 50.0%. The other outcomes represent 50.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 50% · Draw: 27.7% · Away win: 22.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Farul Constanta 1846; Oţelul 1809. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 4–3. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga I · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 14:00
Farul Constanta
Elo 1846
4
-
3
Oţelul
Elo 1809
FT
HT 3-0
Home Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Away Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Elo Advantage
+36
H2H (4)
0H
2D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Farul Constanta1846
Oţelul1809
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Farul Constanta
2Draws
2Oţelul
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
50% conf.
CORRECT
Home
50%
@ 1.93
Draw
28%
@ 3.30
Away
22%
@ 3.82
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
56%
@ 1.87
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Clean Sheet
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
@ 1.24
No
25%
Double Chance X2
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
@ 1.83
No
47%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
WRONG
Home
33%
@ 2.55
Draw
45%
@ 2.11
Away
23%
@ 4.36
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
@ 1.41
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
32%
No
68%
Over 1.5 Goals
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
@ 1.32
No
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
56%
@ 1.97
No
44%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.