How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Arges Pitesti, at 51.2%. The other outcomes represent 48.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 51.2% · Draw: 25.5% · Away win: 23.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Arges Pitesti 1820; Uta Arad 1879. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga I · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 15:00
Arges Pitesti
Elo 1820
0
-
1
Uta Arad
Elo 1879
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
0W
4D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-60
Elo rating comparison
Arges Pitesti1820
Uta Arad1879
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Arges Pitesti
—Draws
—Uta Arad
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
51% conf.
WRONG
Home
51%
Draw
25%
Away
23%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Clean Sheet
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
WRONG
Home
32%
Draw
47%
Away
21%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
66%
No
34%
HT Over 1.5
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Over 1.5 Goals
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
70%
No
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 3.5 Goals
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.