How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Universitatea Craiova, at 51.7%. The other outcomes represent 48.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 21.1% · Draw: 27.1% · Away win: 51.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 1833; Universitatea Craiova 2095. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–5. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga I · Monday, Oct 26 2026
· 18:00
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Elo 1833
0
-
5
Universitatea Craiova
Elo 2095
FT
HT 0-2
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-262
Elo rating comparison
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe1833
Universitatea Craiova2095
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
—Draws
—Universitatea Craiova
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
52% conf.
CORRECT
Home
21%
@ 4.31
Draw
27%
@ 3.55
Away
52%
@ 1.72
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
51%
@ 1.79
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Clean Sheet
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
@ 1.20
No
22%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
WRONG
Home
17%
@ 4.59
Draw
47%
@ 2.18
Away
36%
@ 2.36
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
@ 1.39
No
33%
HT Over 1.5
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
29%
No
71%
Over 1.5 Goals
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
@ 1.30
No
29%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
@ 1.90
No
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
86% conf.
WRONG
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.