How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is AEK Athens FC, at 74.1%. The other outcomes represent 25.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 74.1% · Draw: 15.6% · Away win: 10.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: AEK Athens FC 2132; Panetolikos 1792. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 5–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Super League 1 · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 17:00
AEK Athens FC
Elo 2132
5
-
0
Panetolikos
Elo 1792
FT
HT 3-0
Home Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+340
Elo rating comparison
AEK Athens FC2132
Panetolikos1792
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—AEK Athens FC
—Draws
—Panetolikos
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
74% conf.
CORRECT
Home
74%
@ 1.12
Draw
16%
@ 8.45
Away
10%
@ 18.41
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Away Clean Sheet
92% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
8%
No
92%
Home Clean Sheet
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
56%
@ 1.67
No
44%
Double Chance 1X
100% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
100%
@ 1.02
No
0%
Double Chance X2
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
Half-Time Result
63% conf.
CORRECT
Home
63%
@ 1.44
Draw
26%
@ 3.13
Away
11%
@ 12.38
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
@ 1.20
No
15%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
@ 2.01
No
47%
Over 1.5 Goals
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
87%
@ 1.10
No
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
@ 1.40
No
33%
Over 3.5 Goals
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
@ 2.04
No
46%
Home Win to Nil
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
@ 1.68
No
50%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.