How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is CS Sfaxien, at 67.2%. The other outcomes represent 32.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 67.2% · Draw: 22.2% · Away win: 10.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: CS Sfaxien 1826; AFAD 1649. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
CAF Confederation Cup · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 17:00
CS Sfaxien
Elo 1826
1
-
0
AFAD
Elo 1649
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
+176
H2H (4)
0H
4D
0A
Elo rating comparison
CS Sfaxien1826
AFAD1649
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0CS Sfaxien
4Draws
0AFAD
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
67% conf.
CORRECT
Home
67%
Draw
22%
Away
11%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
45%
No
55%
Away Clean Sheet
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Home Clean Sheet
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
42%
No
58%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
93%
No
7%
Double Chance X2
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
CORRECT
Home
44%
Draw
40%
Away
16%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
74%
No
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 3.5 Goals
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.