How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Rapid Vienna, at 74.5%. The other outcomes represent 25.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 74.5% · Draw: 14.3% · Away win: 11.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Rapid Vienna 2084; Austria Lustenau 1770. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 5–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Bundesliga · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 17:30
Rapid Vienna
Elo 2084
5
-
1
Austria Lustenau
Elo 1770
FT
HT 3-0
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
+314
Elo rating comparison
Rapid Vienna2084
Austria Lustenau1770
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Rapid Vienna
—Draws
—Austria Lustenau
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
75% conf.
CORRECT
Home
75%
@ 1.28
Draw
14%
@ 5.47
Away
11%
@ 8.74
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
@ 1.71
No
41%
Away Clean Sheet
91% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
9%
No
91%
Home Clean Sheet
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Double Chance 1X
99% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
99%
@ 1.06
No
1%
Double Chance X2
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Half-Time Result
64% conf.
CORRECT
Home
64%
@ 1.67
Draw
25%
@ 2.79
Away
11%
@ 6.93
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
@ 1.20
No
20%
HT Over 1.5
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
42%
No
58%
Over 1.5 Goals
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
@ 1.10
No
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
@ 1.39
No
31%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.