How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Namungo, at 45.8%. The other outcomes represent 54.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 45.8% · Draw: 24.7% · Away win: 29.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Namungo 1519; Coastal Union 1556. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Ligi kuu Bara · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 17:30
Namungo
Elo 1519
2
-
1
Coastal Union
Elo 1556
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Away Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Elo Advantage
-37
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Namungo1519
Coastal Union1556
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Namungo
2Draws
0Coastal Union
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
46% conf.
CORRECT
Home
46%
Draw
25%
Away
30%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
47%
No
53%
Away Clean Sheet
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Clean Sheet
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
55%
No
45%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
CORRECT
Home
31%
Draw
47%
Away
22%
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
WRONG
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
HT Over 1.5
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
29%
No
71%
Over 1.5 Goals
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
No
32%
Over 2.5 Goals
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Over 3.5 Goals
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.