How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Lincoln Red Imps FC, at 76.3%. The other outcomes represent 23.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 76.3% · Draw: 14.9% · Away win: 8.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Lincoln Red Imps FC 1896; Lions Gibraltar 1428. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier Division · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 18:30
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Elo 1896
3
-
0
Lions Gibraltar
Elo 1428
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
+468
H2H (3)
0H
3D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Lincoln Red Imps FC1896
Lions Gibraltar1428
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Lincoln Red Imps FC
3Draws
0Lions Gibraltar
3 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
76% conf.
CORRECT
Home
76%
Draw
15%
Away
9%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Away Clean Sheet
91% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
9%
No
91%
Home Clean Sheet
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
93%
No
7%
Double Chance X2
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Half-Time Result
58% conf.
CORRECT
Home
58%
Draw
31%
Away
11%
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
83%
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
Over 3.5 Goals
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
51%
No
49%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.