How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Farroupilha, at 50.0%. The other outcomes represent 50.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 50% · Draw: 21.3% · Away win: 28.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Farroupilha 1451; FBC Riograndense RS 1432. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Gaúcho - 3 · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 18:00
Farroupilha
Elo 1451
1
-
0
FBC Riograndense RS
Elo 1432
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
+19
Elo rating comparison
Farroupilha1451
FBC Riograndense RS1432
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Farroupilha
—Draws
—FBC Riograndense RS
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
50% conf.
CORRECT
Home
50%
Draw
21%
Away
29%
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
No
41%
Away Clean Sheet
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Clean Sheet
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
29%
No
71%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Double Chance X2
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
CORRECT
Home
35%
Draw
43%
Away
22%
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
71%
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
WRONG
Yes
83%
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
63%
No
37%
Over 3.5 Goals
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.