How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Real Sport Club, at 57.7%. The other outcomes represent 42.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 57.7% · Draw: 21.9% · Away win: 20.4%.
90-minute result: 3–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Gaúcho - 3 · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 18:00
Real Sport Club
3
-
1
São Paulo RS
Elo 1475
FT
HT 2-1
Elo rating comparison
Real Sport Club—
São Paulo RS1475
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Real Sport Club
—Draws
—São Paulo RS
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
58% conf.
CORRECT
Home
58%
Draw
22%
Away
20%
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Away Clean Sheet
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Clean Sheet
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
45%
No
55%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
CORRECT
Home
43%
Draw
40%
Away
17%
HT Both Teams Score
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
28%
No
72%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.